Start Mike Evans or Denzel Boston? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Mike Evans over Denzel Boston in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Mike Evans at 11.5 points and Denzel Boston at 10.9, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Denzel Boston's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Market coverage on Mike Evans is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.5 fantasy points for Mike Evans, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books give Mike Evans a 38% chance to score a touchdown (14 books).

Player prop markets imply 10.9 fantasy points for Denzel Boston, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Denzel Boston at 46.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Mike Evans 0.6 points ahead of Denzel Boston on the books.

Injury status

Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a hip injury.

Denzel Boston is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Mike Evans played 66 percent of SF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 1 against LAR: 49 of 65 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 2 against MIA: 28 of 52 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards.

Through Week 2, Denzel Boston played 93 percent of CLE snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 52 percent of the air yards and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Denzel Boston, Week 1 against JAX: 47 of 51 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 59 yards, 1 touchdown.

Denzel Boston, Week 2 against TB: 54 of 58 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mike Evans, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 50 of 67 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Mike Evans.
• Start Mike Evans over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Mike Evans over DJ Moore.
• Start Denzel Boston over Adonai Mitchell.
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Denzel Boston.
• Start Devaughn Vele over Denzel Boston.