Start Mike Evans or Dalton Kincaid? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Mike Evans in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Dalton Kincaid at 13.1 points and Mike Evans at 12.6, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dalton Kincaid's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.1 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Dalton Kincaid at 56.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 12.6 fantasy points for Mike Evans, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Mike Evans at 54.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 38% chance to score a touchdown (7, 5 and 14 books).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.5 points ahead of Mike Evans on the books.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a hip injury.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Mike Evans played 66 percent of SF snaps, drew 18 percent of the targets, earned 29 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Evans, Week 1 against LAR: 49 of 65 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Evans, Week 2 against MIA: 28 of 52 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Mike Evans, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 50 of 67 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Dalton Schultz over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over DK Metcalf.
• Start George Pickens over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Mike Evans over Denzel Boston.
• Start Mike Evans over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Mike Evans over DJ Moore.