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Start DeVonta Smith or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start DeVonta Smith over Tetairoa McMillan

Start

DeVonta Smith

WR · PHI · at TEN

Books imply
13.5
fantasy pts
TEN D vs WR
28.6
16th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
95%
Through Week 1
Target share
27%
Through Week 1
Sit

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · at ATL

Books imply
13.7
fantasy pts
ATL D vs WR
22.4
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Through Week 1
Target share
24%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start DeVonta Smith over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project DeVonta Smith at 13.5 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 13.7, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tetairoa McMillan's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take DeVonta Smith at ADP 28 and Tetairoa McMillan at 35.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.5 fantasy points for DeVonta Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 13.7 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.2 points ahead of DeVonta Smith on the books.

Week 2 matchups

DeVonta Smith and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, DeVonta Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

DeVonta Smith is not on the injury report.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, DeVonta Smith played 95 percent of PHI snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

DeVonta Smith, Week 1 against WAS: 52 of 55 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 53 yards.

Through Week 1, Tetairoa McMillan played 82 percent of CAR snaps, drew 24 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, DeVonta Smith played 17 games for PHI and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets and 715 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

DeVonta Smith, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 4 targets and 3 catches for 52 yards, 8.2 PPR points.

DeVonta Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 46 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 25 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR9 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs rec yds line 7-9

Overall rank
68
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR31 · CAR · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
98
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board30
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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