Should I start Tetairoa McMillan or DeVonta Smith in Week 7?

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tetairoa McMillan, and the board ranks him 28th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on DeVonta Smith, and the board ranks him 148th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 11; 2QB: ADP 28.

The market-based projections

Tetairoa McMillan's market-based projection is 15.3 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 41st highest figure of the 201 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for DeVonta Smith is 2.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 11 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

DeVonta Smith's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 6

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has been on the field for 85 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 26 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 3 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 48 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards and did not score.

Through Week 6, DeVonta Smith has been on the field for 86 percent of PHI snaps, drawn 33 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 15 of the offence's 41 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 10 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 41 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 117 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against CHI he caught 6 of 8 targets for 65 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against CAR he caught 7 of 14 targets for 75 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.2 targets a game, a 57 percent catch rate and 15 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 DeVonta Smith played 17 games and scored 201.8 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR20.

He caught 77 of 113 targets for 1008 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 13.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Tetairoa McMillan scored 12.4 PPR points a game and DeVonta Smith 11.9, 0.6 a game between them.

Tetairoa McMillan finished WR16 that year and DeVonta Smith WR20.

Tetairoa McMillan had 9 more targets than DeVonta Smith, 122 to 113.

Tetairoa McMillan had 6 more receiving yards than DeVonta Smith, 1014 to 1008.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger snap share, 86 percent against 85 percent.

This season DeVonta Smith holds the bigger target share, 33 percent against 26 percent.

Byes and availability

Tetairoa McMillan is off in Week 5 and DeVonta Smith in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

DeVonta Smith has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.