Start DK Metcalf or Tyler Warren? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start DK Metcalf over Tyler Warren
- Books imply
- 11.8
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 96%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 26%
- Through Week 2
- Books imply
- 11.6
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start DK Metcalf over Tyler Warren in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project DK Metcalf at 11.8 points and Tyler Warren at 11.6, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Tyler Warren's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for DK Metcalf, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have DK Metcalf at 52.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 11.6 fantasy points for Tyler Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Tyler Warren at 45.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12 and 15 books).
That puts DK Metcalf 0.2 points ahead of Tyler Warren on the books.
Injury status
DK Metcalf is not on the injury report.
Tyler Warren is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, DK Metcalf played 96 percent of PIT snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 43 percent of the air yards and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.
DK Metcalf, Week 1 against ATL: 64 of 67 snaps, 10 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.
DK Metcalf, Week 2 against NE: 68 of 70 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, DK Metcalf played 15 games for PIT and scored 187.2 PPR points, 12.5 a game, finishing WR26.
He caught 59 of 99 targets for 850 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 436 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
DK Metcalf, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 65 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR23 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs catches line 5-10
- Overall rank
- 51
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
Ranked behind
TE7 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 3-14
- Overall rank
- 65
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board14
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 11 and tier 2
- Board size230 draftable players
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