Start Jake Ferguson or T.J. Hockenson? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jake Ferguson over T.J. Hockenson

- Books imply
- 8.6
- fantasy pts

- Books imply
- 8.6
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Jake Ferguson over T.J. Hockenson in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Jake Ferguson at 8.6 points and T.J. Hockenson at 8.6, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Jake Ferguson at 28.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 8.6 fantasy points for T.J. Hockenson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have T.J. Hockenson at 30.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (13, 11 and 14 books).
That puts Jake Ferguson 0.0 points ahead of T.J. Hockenson on the books.
Injury status
Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.
T.J. Hockenson is not on the injury report.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE17 · DAL · bye 14
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 116
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
TE · MIN · bye unlisted
2025 vs rec yds line 8-7
- Overall rank
- not on the board
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- not tiered
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersnot tiered
- Board size227 draftable players
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