Start Kyle Pitts Sr. or Jake Ferguson? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson
- Books imply
- 8.9
- fantasy pts
- Books imply
- 8.6
- fantasy pts
Our Week 3 call
Start Kyle Pitts Sr. over Jake Ferguson in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Kyle Pitts Sr. at 8.9 points and Jake Ferguson at 8.6, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Kyle Pitts Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Kyle Pitts Sr. at 36.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (18, 15 and 18 books).
Player prop markets imply 8.6 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Jake Ferguson at 28.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Kyle Pitts Sr. 0.4 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on the books.
Injury status
Kyle Pitts Sr. is not on the injury report.
Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE16 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs rec yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 113
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
TE17 · DAL · bye 14
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 116
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board3
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 2
- Board size227 draftable players
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