Start Josh Downs or Jameson Williams? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Jameson Williams over Josh Downs in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Jameson Williams at 12.1 points and Josh Downs at 11.9, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Jameson Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Jameson Williams at 54.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 34% chance to score a touchdown (15, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Josh Downs at 50.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 26% chance to score a touchdown (13, 10 and 15 books).

That puts Jameson Williams 0.1 points ahead of Josh Downs on the books.

Injury status

Jameson Williams is not on the injury report.

Josh Downs is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Jameson Williams played 90 percent of DET snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Jameson Williams, Week 1 against NO: 65 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 45 yards.

Jameson Williams, Week 2 against BUF: 63 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards.

Through Week 2, Josh Downs played 86 percent of IND snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Josh Downs, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards.

Josh Downs, Week 2 against KC: 54 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 7 catches for 72 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jameson Williams played 17 games for DET and scored 219.9 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR12.

He caught 65 of 102 targets for 1117 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 676 air yards.

He was on the field for 90 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jameson Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 8 targets and 6 catches for 74 yards, 13.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.

He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Downs, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 1 carry for -5 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 9.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Jameson Williams over DJ Moore.
• Start Jameson Williams over DK Metcalf.
• Start Jameson Williams over Emeka Egbuka.
• Start Josh Downs over Denzel Boston.
• Start Josh Downs over Devaughn Vele.
• Start Josh Downs over DJ Moore.