Start Luther Burden III or Jameson Williams? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Luther Burden III over Jameson Williams in Week 1.

Luther Burden III is priced by the books at 8.0 projected points. Jameson Williams has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Jameson Williams at 45. Market coverage on Luther Burden III is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jameson Williams in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Jameson Williams and DET host NO.

NO allowed 37.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO.

Luther Burden III and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 41.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 200 yards and a touchdown against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Luther Burden III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jameson Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Luther Burden III was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jameson Williams played 17 games for DET and scored 219.9 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR12.

He caught 65 of 102 targets for 1117 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 676 air yards.

He was on the field for 90 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jameson Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 8 targets and 6 catches for 74 yards, 13.4 PPR points.

Jameson Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 53 of 64 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

Jameson Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against PIT: 70 of 74 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 70 yards, 12.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.

Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Luther Burden III scored 9.5 PPR points and Jameson Williams scored 8.5.

The call was right: Luther Burden III outscored Jameson Williams by 1.0.

Luther Burden III finished 1.5 points above the 8.0 the props implied.

Luther Burden III, Week 1 against CAR: 55 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for 2 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 63 yards, 9.5 PPR points.

Luther Burden III finished as the week's WR37 in PPR scoring.

Jameson Williams, Week 1 against NO: 65 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 45 yards, 8.5 PPR points.

Jameson Williams finished as the week's WR45 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Jameson Williams over Davante Adams.
• Start Jameson Williams over DJ Moore.
• Start Jaylen Waddle over Jameson Williams.
• Start Luther Burden III over Alec Pierce.
• Start Luther Burden III over Christian Watson.
• Start Luther Burden III over Courtland Sutton.