Start Rhamondre Stevenson or Jaylen Warren? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Rhamondre Stevenson over Jaylen Warren
Right: 14.5 to 10.3
- Books imply
- 11.1
- fantasy pts
- SEA D vs RB
- 18.5
- 12th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 85%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 19%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 14.5
- PPR pts

- ATL D vs RB
- 14.4
- 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 37%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 16%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.3
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Rhamondre Stevenson over Jaylen Warren in Week 1.
Rhamondre Stevenson is priced by the books at 11.1 projected points. Jaylen Warren has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Rhamondre Stevenson at ADP 60 and Jaylen Warren at 63.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 11.1 fantasy points for Rhamondre Stevenson, with 80 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jaylen Warren in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Rhamondre Stevenson and NE visit SEA on Wednesday at 8:20 PM ET.
SEA allowed 18.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 62 yards and no touchdowns against SEA and caught passes for 53 more yards.
Jaylen Warren and PIT host ATL.
ATL allowed 14.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 61 yards and no touchdowns against ATL and caught passes for 33 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Rhamondre Stevenson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Rhamondre Stevenson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jaylen Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Rhamondre Stevenson played 14 games for NE and scored 178.8 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing RB25.
He ran 130 times for 603 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 32 of 37 targets for 345 yards.
He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 7 carries for 131 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 3 touchdowns, 35.3 PPR points.
Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 32 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 47 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 55 yards, 2 touchdowns, 27.2 PPR points.
Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 16 of 2025 against BAL: 62 of 74 snaps, 8 carries for 51 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 27 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jaylen Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 14 carries for 66 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 14.9 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against CLE: 21 of 66 snaps, 12 carries for 64 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.4 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against DET: 36 of 74 snaps, 14 carries for 143 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 2 touchdowns, 29.1 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Rhamondre Stevenson scored 14.5 PPR points and Jaylen Warren scored 10.3.
The call was right: Rhamondre Stevenson outscored Jaylen Warren by 4.2.
Rhamondre Stevenson finished 3.4 points above the 11.1 the props implied.
Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 1 against SEA: 60 of 71 snaps, 18 carries for 51 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 14.5 PPR points.
Rhamondre Stevenson finished as the week's RB17 in PPR scoring.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards, 10.3 PPR points.
Jaylen Warren finished as the week's RB25 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB24 · NE · bye 11
2025 vs carries line 4-10
- Overall rank
- 51
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB25 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-11
- Overall rank
- 53
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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