Start Saquon Barkley or Jaylen Warren? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Saquon Barkley over Jaylen Warren

- Books imply
- 15.4
- fantasy pts
- CHI D vs RB
- 24.2
- 10th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 39%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 7%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 15.2
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 55%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 14%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Saquon Barkley over Jaylen Warren in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Saquon Barkley at 15.4 points and Jaylen Warren at 15.2, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Saquon Barkley, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Saquon Barkley at 71.5 rushing yards, 13.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (12, 14, 14 and 14 books).
Player prop markets imply 15.2 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Jaylen Warren at 57.5 rushing yards and 23.5 receiving yards, with a 45% chance to score a touchdown (11, 3 and 15 books).
That puts Saquon Barkley 0.2 points ahead of Jaylen Warren on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Saquon Barkley and PHI visit CHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.
CHI allowed 24.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 10th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 102 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against CHI and caught passes for 50 more yards.
Injury status
Saquon Barkley is listed as questionable with a arm injury.
Jaylen Warren is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Saquon Barkley played 39 percent of PHI snaps, took 35 percent of the carries, drew 7 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.
Saquon Barkley, Week 1 against WAS: 39 of 55 snaps, 15 carries for 83 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -3 yards.
Saquon Barkley, Week 2 against TEN: 12 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.
Through Week 2, Jaylen Warren played 55 percent of PIT snaps, took 51 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.
Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.
Jaylen Warren, Week 2 against NE: 50 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 43 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Saquon Barkley played 16 games for PHI and scored 232.3 PPR points, 14.5 a game, finishing RB14.
He ran 280 times for 1140 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 37 of 50 targets for 273 yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Saquon Barkley, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 19 carries for 68 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.
He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.
He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jaylen Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 14 carries for 66 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 14.9 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB13 · PHI · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 4-12
- Overall rank
- 21
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
RB15 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-11
- Overall rank
- 24
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board3
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size230 draftable players
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