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Start Woody Marks or Jonah Coleman? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Woody Marks over Jonah Coleman

Right: 5.0 to 0.0
Start

Woody Marks

RB · HOU · vs BUF

Books imply
2.7
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
33.9
7th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Week 1
Target share
3%
Week 1
Scored
5.0
PPR pts
Sit

Jonah Coleman

RB · DEN · at KC

KC D vs RB
11.7
7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
6%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Woody Marks over Jonah Coleman in Week 1.

Woody Marks is priced by the books at 2.7 projected points. Jonah Coleman has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Woody Marks at ADP 149 and Jonah Coleman at 164. Market coverage on Woody Marks is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.7 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Jonah Coleman in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Woody Marks and HOU host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 33.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF and caught passes for 17 more yards.

Jonah Coleman and DEN visit KC.

KC allowed 11.7 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 54 yards and no touchdowns against KC and caught passes for 23 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Woody Marks has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Woody Marks was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jonah Coleman was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.

He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.

He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Woody Marks, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 10 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.

Woody Marks, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 19 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 8.5 PPR points.

Woody Marks, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 15 of 67 snaps, 7 carries for 30 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 10.8 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Woody Marks scored 5.0 PPR points and Jonah Coleman scored 0.0.

The call was right: Woody Marks outscored Jonah Coleman by 5.0.

Woody Marks finished 2.3 points above the 2.7 the props implied.

Woody Marks, Week 1 against BUF: 40 of 79 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

Woody Marks finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.

Jonah Coleman, Week 1 against KC: 3 of 51 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB27 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs catches line 3-7

Overall rank
55
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB55 · DEN · bye 10

Overall rank
221
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board166
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 12
  • Board size244 draftable players

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