Start Woody Marks or Alvin Kamara? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Woody Marks over Alvin Kamara
Right: 5.0 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 0.9
- fantasy pts
- BUF D vs RB
- 33.9
- 7th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 51%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.0
- PPR pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Woody Marks over Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Woody Marks is priced by the books at 0.9 projected points. Alvin Kamara has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Woody Marks at ADP 144 and Alvin Kamara at 159. Market coverage on Woody Marks is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 1.0 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Woody Marks and HOU host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BUF allowed 33.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF and caught passes for 17 more yards.
Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Woody Marks has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Woody Marks was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.
He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.
He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Woody Marks, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 10 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.
Woody Marks, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 19 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 8.5 PPR points.
Woody Marks, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 15 of 67 snaps, 7 carries for 30 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 10.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Woody Marks scored 5.0 PPR points and Alvin Kamara scored 0.0.
The call was right: Woody Marks outscored Alvin Kamara by 5.0.
Woody Marks finished 4.1 points above the 1.0 the props implied.
Woody Marks, Week 1 against BUF: 40 of 79 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards, 5.0 PPR points.
Woody Marks finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB27 · HOU · bye 8
2025 vs catches line 3-7
- Overall rank
- 55
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB29 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 57
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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