Start Jordan Addison or Josh Downs? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Josh Downs over Jordan Addison
Right: 5.7 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 3.0
- fantasy pts
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 89%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.7
- PPR pts
- GB D vs WR
- 31.2
- 13th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 83%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 9%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Josh Downs over Jordan Addison in Week 1.
Josh Downs is priced by the books at 3.0 projected points. Jordan Addison has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Josh Downs at ADP 93 and Jordan Addison at 97. Market coverage on Josh Downs is 30 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 3.0 fantasy points for Josh Downs, with 30 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Jordan Addison in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Josh Downs and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
Jordan Addison and MIN host GB.
GB allowed 31.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 13th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 92 yards and 2 touchdowns against GB.
By points allowed to the position, Jordan Addison has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Josh Downs was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Jordan Addison was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Josh Downs played 16 games for IND and scored 136.4 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR44.
He caught 58 of 88 targets for 566 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 422 air yards.
He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Josh Downs, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 1 carry for -5 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 61 yards, 9.6 PPR points.
Josh Downs, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 35 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 5.4 PPR points.
Josh Downs, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 47 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 9 targets and 5 catches for 65 yards, 11.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Jordan Addison played 14 games for MIN and scored 135.1 PPR points, 9.7 a game, finishing WR45.
He caught 42 of 79 targets for 610 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 477 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Jordan Addison, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 3 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1.8 PPR points.
Jordan Addison, Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 42 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 65 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.5 PPR points.
Jordan Addison, Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 41 of 61 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards, 4.6 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Josh Downs scored 5.7 PPR points and Jordan Addison scored 0.0.
The call was right: Josh Downs outscored Jordan Addison by 5.7.
Josh Downs finished 2.7 points above the 3.0 the props implied.
Josh Downs, Week 1 against BAL: 48 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 37 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
Josh Downs finished as the week's WR65 in PPR scoring.
Jordan Addison, Week 1 against GB: 54 of 65 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR5 · MIN · bye 6
2025 vs catches line 5-9
- Overall rank
- 61
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR18 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-12
- Overall rank
- 81
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board20
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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