Start Michael Wilson or Justin Jefferson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Michael Wilson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.9 points and Michael Wilson at 17.7, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.7 fantasy points for Michael Wilson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Michael Wilson at 82.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 17 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Justin Jefferson at 77.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 36% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 15 market sources).

That puts Michael Wilson 0.8 points ahead of Justin Jefferson on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 29.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 123 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against NO.

Injury status

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

Justin Jefferson is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson played 91 percent of ARI snaps, drew 30 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 2 against SEA: 47 of 50 snaps, 7 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 3 against SF: 81 of 87 snaps, 17 targets and 11 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Through Week 3, Justin Jefferson played 68 percent of MIN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 32 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 3 against TB: 7 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 32 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Michael Wilson.
• Start Michael Wilson over Chris Olave.
• Start Michael Wilson over Davante Adams.
• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Justin Jefferson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Calvin Ridley.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.