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Start Juwan Johnson or Keenan Allen? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Juwan Johnson over Keenan Allen

Books imply
9.0
fantasy pts
Books imply
8.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
58%
Through Week 2
Target share
19%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Juwan Johnson over Keenan Allen in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Juwan Johnson at 9.0 points and Keenan Allen at 8.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Juwan Johnson at 35.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 8.8 fantasy points for Keenan Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Keenan Allen at 33.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (13, 12 and 13 books).

That puts Juwan Johnson 0.2 points ahead of Keenan Allen on the books.

Injury status

Juwan Johnson is not on the injury report.

Keenan Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Keenan Allen played 58 percent of IND snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 15 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Keenan Allen, Week 1 against BAL: 36 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 32 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 2 against KC: 33 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Keenan Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against DEN: 13 targets and 7 catches for 36 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE13 · NO · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
105
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

WR47 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 4-13

Overall rank
114
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board9
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 12
  • Board size230 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board