Start Keenan Allen or Makai Lemon? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Makai Lemon over Keenan Allen
Wrong: 2.5 to 9.2
- Books implied
- 1.3
- pre-game
- WAS D vs WR
- 26.1
- 14th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 64%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 18%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 2.5
- PPR pts
- BAL D vs WR
- 25.0
- 12th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 67%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 21%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 9.2
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Makai Lemon over Keenan Allen in Week 1.
Makai Lemon is priced by the books at 1.3 projected points. Keenan Allen has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Makai Lemon at ADP 138 and Keenan Allen at 147. Market coverage on Makai Lemon is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 1.3 fantasy points for Makai Lemon, with 33 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Keenan Allen in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Makai Lemon and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
WAS allowed 26.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and a touchdown against WAS.
Keenan Allen and IND host BAL.
BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.
By points allowed to the position, Makai Lemon has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Makai Lemon was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Keenan Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.
He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Keenan Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against DEN: 13 targets and 7 catches for 36 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
Keenan Allen, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 36 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 17 yards, 2.7 PPR points.
Keenan Allen, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 30 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 9.4 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Makai Lemon scored 2.5 PPR points and Keenan Allen scored 9.2.
The call was wrong: Keenan Allen outscored Makai Lemon by 6.7.
Makai Lemon finished 1.2 points above the 1.3 the props implied.
Makai Lemon, Week 1 against WAS: 35 of 55 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 2.5 PPR points.
Makai Lemon finished as the week's WR91 in PPR scoring.
Keenan Allen, Week 1 against BAL: 36 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 32 yards, 9.2 PPR points.
Keenan Allen finished as the week's WR38 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR48 · IND · bye 13
2025 vs anytime td line 4-13
- Overall rank
- 110
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
Ranked behind
WR59 · PHI · bye 10
- Overall rank
- 139
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board29
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 11 and tier 12
- Board size242 draftable players
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