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Start Keenan Allen or Tre Tucker? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tre Tucker over Keenan Allen

Wrong: 4.7 to 9.2
Start

Tre Tucker

WR · LV · vs MIA

Books imply
6.5
fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR
22.5
9th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
71%
Week 1
Target share
14%
Week 1
Scored
4.7
PPR pts
Sit

Keenan Allen

WR · IND · vs BAL

BAL D vs WR
25.0
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
67%
Week 1
Target share
21%
Week 1
Scored
9.2
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tre Tucker over Keenan Allen in Week 1.

Tre Tucker is priced by the books at 6.5 projected points. Keenan Allen has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tre Tucker at ADP 140 and Keenan Allen at 147. Market coverage on Tre Tucker is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Tre Tucker, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Keenan Allen in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tre Tucker and LV host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 22.5 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 83 yards and a touchdown against MIA.

Keenan Allen and IND host BAL.

BAL allowed 25.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and no touchdowns against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Keenan Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tre Tucker was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Keenan Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tre Tucker played 17 games for LV and scored 161.7 PPR points, 9.5 a game, finishing WR38.

He caught 57 of 92 targets for 696 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 405 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tre Tucker, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 1 carry for 4 yards, 6 targets and 2 catches for 30 yards, 5.4 PPR points.

Tre Tucker, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 59 of 59 snaps, 2 carries for 0 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 49 yards, 9.9 PPR points.

Tre Tucker, Week 16 of 2025 against HOU: 54 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 11 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 9.4 PPR points.

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Keenan Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against DEN: 13 targets and 7 catches for 36 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Keenan Allen, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 36 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 17 yards, 2.7 PPR points.

Keenan Allen, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 30 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards, 9.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tre Tucker scored 4.7 PPR points and Keenan Allen scored 9.2.

The call was wrong: Keenan Allen outscored Tre Tucker by 4.5.

Tre Tucker finished 1.8 points below the 6.5 the props implied.

Tre Tucker, Week 1 against MIA: 48 of 68 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 27 yards, 4.7 PPR points.

Tre Tucker finished as the week's WR74 in PPR scoring.

Keenan Allen, Week 1 against BAL: 36 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 32 yards, 9.2 PPR points.

Keenan Allen finished as the week's WR38 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR46 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 4-13

Overall rank
126
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

WR61 · LV · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 6-11

Overall rank
166
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board40
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 9
  • Board size244 draftable players

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