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Start Tyler Shough or Kyler Murray? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyler Shough over Kyler Murray

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Tyler Shough over Kyler Murray in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Tyler Shough at 16.5 points and Kyler Murray at 16.3, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Tyler Shough, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyler Shough at 237.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (17, 18, 15 and 17 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Kyler Murray at 212.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 17.5 rushing yards, with a 17% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17, 14 and 16 market sources).

That puts Tyler Shough 0.2 points ahead of Kyler Murray on the market projections.

Injury status

Tyler Shough is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Tyler Shough played 100 percent of NO snaps, dropped back 197 times and threw an average of 8.3 air yards per attempt.

Tyler Shough, Week 1 against DET: 90 of 90 snaps, 35 of 55 passes for 410 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 4 carries for 8 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 2 against BAL: 68 of 68 snaps, 27 of 34 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 24 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 3 against LV: 74 of 74 snaps, 29 of 42 passes for 255 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 36 yards.

Tyler Shough, Week 4 against ATL: 74 of 74 snaps, 30 of 48 passes for 286 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray played 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Shough played 11 games for NO and scored 164.0 PPR points, 14.9 a game, finishing QB26.

He completed 221 of 327 passes for 2384 yards, 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB14 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 4-0

Overall rank
103
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

QB16 · MIN · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 0-5

Overall rank
107
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 3
  • Board size280 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board