Start Travis Etienne Jr. or Kyren Williams? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Kyren Williams over Travis Etienne Jr.
Right: 15.5 to 14.8
- Books imply
- 5.7
- fantasy pts
- SF D vs RB
- 24.3
- 14th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 64%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 11%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 15.5
- PPR pts
- Books imply
- 1.7
- fantasy pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 14.8
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Kyren Williams over Travis Etienne Jr. in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Kyren Williams at 5.7 points and Travis Etienne Jr. at 1.7, a gap of 3.9. Drafters take Kyren Williams at ADP 33 and Travis Etienne Jr. at 39. Market coverage on Kyren Williams is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Kyren Williams, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 1.7 fantasy points for Travis Etienne Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Kyren Williams 3.9 points ahead of Travis Etienne Jr. on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Kyren Williams and LAR host SF on Thursday at 8:35 PM ET.
SF allowed 24.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 114 yards and a touchdown against SF and caught passes for 29 more yards.
Travis Etienne Jr. and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Travis Etienne Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Kyren Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Travis Etienne Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Kyren Williams played 17 games for LAR and scored 263.3 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing RB9.
He ran 259 times for 1252 yards and 10 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 50 targets for 281 yards.
He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Kyren Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against ARI: 12 carries for 60 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards, 11.1 PPR points.
Kyren Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 46 of 65 snaps, 13 carries for 92 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 38 yards, 16.0 PPR points.
Kyren Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 65 of 92 snaps, 23 carries for 70 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 15 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Kyren Williams scored 15.5 PPR points and Travis Etienne Jr. scored 14.8.
The call was right: Kyren Williams outscored Travis Etienne Jr. by 0.7.
Kyren Williams finished 9.9 points above the 5.7 the props implied.
Kyren Williams, Week 1 against SF: 39 of 61 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.5 PPR points.
Kyren Williams finished as the week's RB15 in PPR scoring.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished 13.1 points above the 1.7 the props implied.
Travis Etienne Jr., Week 1 against DET: 53 of 90 snaps, 9 carries for 46 yards, 9 targets and 7 catches for 32 yards, 14.8 PPR points.
Travis Etienne Jr. finished as the week's RB16 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB13 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 34
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB33 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs rush yds line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 78
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board44
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 4 and tier 6
- Board size244 draftable players
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