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Start Tetairoa McMillan or Ladd McConkey? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Ladd McConkey

Wrong: 10.5 to 19.2
Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs CHI

Books imply
5.6
fantasy pts
CHI D vs WR
42.3
5th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
82%
Week 1
Target share
24%
Week 1
Scored
10.5
PPR pts
Sit

Ladd McConkey

WR · LAC · vs ARI

ARI D vs WR
27.9
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
49%
Week 1
Target share
26%
Week 1
Scored
19.2
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Ladd McConkey in Week 1.

Tetairoa McMillan is priced by the books at 5.6 projected points. Ladd McConkey has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 35 and Ladd McConkey at 40. Market coverage on Tetairoa McMillan is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 5.6 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Ladd McConkey in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 42.3 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns against CHI.

Ladd McConkey and LAC host ARI.

ARI allowed 27.9 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 119 yards and a touchdown against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Ladd McConkey was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 47 of 54 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 73 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Ladd McConkey played 16 games for LAC and scored 180.9 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing WR30.

He caught 66 of 106 targets for 789 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 14 red zone targets and 479 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ladd McConkey, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 56 of 63 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 31 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Ladd McConkey, Week 16 of 2025 against DAL: 48 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.3 PPR points.

Ladd McConkey, Week 15 of 2025 against KC: 49 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tetairoa McMillan scored 10.5 PPR points and Ladd McConkey scored 19.2.

The call was wrong: Ladd McConkey outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 8.7.

Tetairoa McMillan finished 4.9 points above the 5.6 the props implied.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan finished as the week's WR32 in PPR scoring.

Ladd McConkey, Week 1 against ARI: 27 of 55 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 82 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.2 PPR points.

Ladd McConkey finished as the week's WR12 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR31 · CAR · bye 5

2025 vs rec yds line 7-10

Overall rank
98
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR64 · LAC · bye 7

2025 vs rec yds line 5-11

Overall rank
174
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board76
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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