Start Garrett Wilson or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Garrett Wilson over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 1.

De-vigged player props project Garrett Wilson at 8.3 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 5.6, a gap of 2.7. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 26 and Tetairoa McMillan at 35. Market coverage on Garrett Wilson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Garrett Wilson, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 5.6 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

That puts Garrett Wilson 2.7 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the books.

Week 1 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 28.6 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and no touchdowns against TEN.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host CHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CHI allowed 42.3 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 213 yards and 2 touchdowns against CHI.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tetairoa McMillan was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards, 1.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 47 of 54 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 73 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.3 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Garrett Wilson scored 13.9 PPR points and Tetairoa McMillan scored 10.5.

The call was right: Garrett Wilson outscored Tetairoa McMillan by 3.4.

Garrett Wilson finished 5.6 points above the 8.3 the props implied.

Garrett Wilson, Week 1 against TEN: 50 of 67 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 13.9 PPR points.

Garrett Wilson finished as the week's WR23 in PPR scoring.

Tetairoa McMillan finished 4.9 points above the 5.6 the props implied.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Tetairoa McMillan finished as the week's WR32 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Garrett Wilson over Chris Olave.
• Start Garrett Wilson over DeVonta Smith.
• Start Garrett Wilson over Emeka Egbuka.
• Start DeVonta Smith over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Emeka Egbuka over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Tetairoa McMillan over Ladd McConkey.