Start Luther Burden III or Rome Odunze? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Luther Burden III over Rome Odunze
Right: 9.5 to 7.2
- Books imply
- 8.0
- fantasy pts
- CAR D vs WR
- 41.2
- 7th most to WRs (2026)
- Scored
- 9.5
- PPR pts

- Books imply
- 3.4
- fantasy pts
- CAR D vs WR
- 41.2
- 7th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 48%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 12%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 7.2
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Luther Burden III over Rome Odunze in Week 1.
De-vigged player props project Luther Burden III at 8.0 points and Rome Odunze at 3.4, a gap of 4.6. Drafters take Luther Burden III at ADP 51 and Rome Odunze at 54. Market coverage on Luther Burden III is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 3.4 fantasy points for Rome Odunze, with 30 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
That puts Luther Burden III 4.6 points ahead of Rome Odunze on the books.
Week 1 matchups
Luther Burden III and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 41.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 200 yards and a touchdown against CAR.
Rome Odunze and CHI visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CAR allowed 41.2 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 200 yards and a touchdown against CAR.
Injury status
Luther Burden III was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Rome Odunze was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Luther Burden III played 15 games for CHI and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.
He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 318 air yards.
He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Luther Burden III, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 1 carry for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 7.5 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 38 of 66 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 138 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.8 PPR points.
Luther Burden III, Week 15 of 2025 against CLE: 26 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 84 yards, 14.4 PPR points.
In 2025, Rome Odunze played 12 games for CHI and scored 146.1 PPR points, 12.2 a game, finishing WR41.
He caught 44 of 90 targets for 661 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 447 air yards.
He was on the field for 82 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Luther Burden III scored 9.5 PPR points and Rome Odunze scored 7.2.
The call was right: Luther Burden III outscored Rome Odunze by 2.3.
Luther Burden III finished 1.5 points above the 8.0 the props implied.
Luther Burden III, Week 1 against CAR: 55 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for 2 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 63 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Luther Burden III finished as the week's WR37 in PPR scoring.
Rome Odunze finished 3.8 points above the 3.4 the props implied.
Rome Odunze, Week 1 against CAR: 36 of 75 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 52 yards, 7.2 PPR points.
Rome Odunze finished as the week's WR54 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR12 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs anytime td line 2-13
- Overall rank
- 72
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR30 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs rec yds line 5-7
- Overall rank
- 97
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board25
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 5
- Board size244 draftable players
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