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Start Malik Nabers or Nico Collins? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Nico Collins over Malik Nabers

Right: 21.2 to 12.9
Start

Nico Collins

WR · HOU · vs BUF

Books imply
6.9
fantasy pts
BUF D vs WR
40.0
8th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
72%
Week 1
Target share
27%
Week 1
Scored
21.2
PPR pts
Sit

Malik Nabers

WR · NYG · vs DAL · questionable

DAL D vs WR
22.1
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
52%
Week 1
Target share
31%
Week 1
Scored
12.9
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Nico Collins over Malik Nabers in Week 1.

Nico Collins is priced by the books at 6.9 projected points. Malik Nabers has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Nico Collins at ADP 20 and Malik Nabers at 27. Market coverage on Nico Collins is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 6.9 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Malik Nabers in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Nico Collins and HOU host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 40.0 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 193 yards and a touchdown against BUF.

Malik Nabers and NYG host DAL.

DAL allowed 22.1 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and no touchdowns against DAL.

By points allowed to the position, Nico Collins has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Nico Collins was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Malik Nabers was listed as questionable when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

Nico Collins, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 59 yards, 9.9 PPR points.

Nico Collins, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 49 of 67 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards, 2 touchdowns, 23.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Malik Nabers played 4 games for NYG and scored 57.1 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR101.

He caught 18 of 35 targets for 271 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 219 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 1 went

Nico Collins scored 21.2 PPR points and Malik Nabers scored 12.9.

The call was right: Nico Collins outscored Malik Nabers by 8.3.

Nico Collins finished 14.3 points above the 6.9 the props implied.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.2 PPR points.

Nico Collins finished as the week's WR8 in PPR scoring.

Malik Nabers, Week 1 against DAL: 36 of 69 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 69 yards, 12.9 PPR points.

Malik Nabers finished as the week's WR26 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR11 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 1-3

Overall rank
70
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR26 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board21
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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