Start Woody Marks or Najee Harris? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Woody Marks over Najee Harris
Right: 5.0 to 0.0- Books implied
- 2.3
- pre-game
- BUF D vs RB
- 33.9
- 7th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 51%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 3%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 5.0
- PPR pts
- DAL D vs RB
- 27.3
- 9th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Woody Marks over Najee Harris in Week 1.
Woody Marks is priced by the books at 2.3 projected points. Najee Harris has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Woody Marks at ADP 151 and Najee Harris at 156. Market coverage on Woody Marks is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Najee Harris in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Woody Marks and HOU host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
BUF allowed 33.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF and caught passes for 17 more yards.
Najee Harris and NYG host DAL.
DAL allowed 27.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 111 yards and a touchdown against DAL and caught passes for 22 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Woody Marks has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Woody Marks was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Najee Harris was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.
He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.
He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Woody Marks, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 10 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.
Woody Marks, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 19 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 8.5 PPR points.
Woody Marks, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 15 of 67 snaps, 7 carries for 30 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 10.8 PPR points.
In 2025, Najee Harris played 3 games for LAC and scored 11.6 PPR points, 3.9 a game, finishing RB105.
He ran 15 times for 61 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 3 targets for 25 yards.
He was on the field for 21 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Woody Marks scored 5.0 PPR points and Najee Harris scored 0.0.
The call was right: Woody Marks outscored Najee Harris by 5.0.
Woody Marks finished 2.7 points above the 2.3 the props implied.
Woody Marks, Week 1 against BUF: 40 of 79 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards, 5.0 PPR points.
Woody Marks finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
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