Start Rico Dowdle or TreVeyon Henderson? Week 1
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Rico Dowdle over TreVeyon Henderson
Right: 4.1 to 0.0
- Books implied
- 7.2
- pre-game
- ATL D vs RB
- 14.4
- 9th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 58%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.1
- PPR pts
- SEA D vs RB
- 18.5
- 12th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Rico Dowdle over TreVeyon Henderson in Week 1.
TreVeyon Henderson is listed out on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Rico Dowdle. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 79 and TreVeyon Henderson at 66. Market coverage on Rico Dowdle is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for TreVeyon Henderson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 7.2 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
TreVeyon Henderson and NE visit SEA.
SEA allowed 18.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 62 yards and no touchdowns against SEA and caught passes for 53 more yards.
Rico Dowdle and PIT host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 14.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 9th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 61 yards and no touchdowns against ATL and caught passes for 33 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, TreVeyon Henderson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
TreVeyon Henderson was listed as out when the call was made.
Rico Dowdle was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, TreVeyon Henderson played 17 games for NE and scored 206.2 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing RB21.
He ran 180 times for 911 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 42 targets for 221 yards.
He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 13 carries for 53 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 17.3 PPR points.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 34 of 66 snaps, 19 carries for 82 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 16 of 2025 against BAL: 14 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 3 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Rico Dowdle, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 27 of 51 snaps, 7 carries for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 3.0 PPR points.
Rico Dowdle, Week 17 of 2025 against SEA: 34 of 53 snaps, 12 carries for 59 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 4 yards, 9.3 PPR points.
Rico Dowdle, Week 16 of 2025 against TB: 31 of 54 snaps, 9 carries for 29 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 14 yards, 8.3 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Rico Dowdle scored 4.1 PPR points and TreVeyon Henderson scored 0.0.
The call was right: Rico Dowdle outscored TreVeyon Henderson by 4.1.
Rico Dowdle finished 3.1 points below the 7.2 the props implied.
Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 4.1 PPR points.
Rico Dowdle finished as the week's RB48 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB30 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 88
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
RB34 · NE · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 119
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board31
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 8 and tier 9
- Board size242 draftable players
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