Start Tetairoa McMillan or Travis Kelce? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Travis Kelce over Tetairoa McMillan

- Books imply
- 13.4
- fantasy pts

- Books imply
- 13.0
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 81%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 27%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Travis Kelce over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Travis Kelce at 13.4 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 13.0, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Travis Kelce's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Travis Kelce, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Travis Kelce at 51.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 41% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Tetairoa McMillan, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The books have Tetairoa McMillan at 60.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).
That puts Travis Kelce 0.4 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on the books.
Injury status
Travis Kelce is not on the injury report.
Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Tetairoa McMillan played 81 percent of CAR snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.
Tetairoa McMillan, Week 1 against CHI: 56 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 75 yards.
Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.
He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tetairoa McMillan, Week 18 of 2025 against TB: 45 of 51 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 85 yards, 10.5 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR16 · CAR · bye 5
2025 vs rec yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 41
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 9
Ranked behind
TE2 · KC · bye 5
2025 vs rec yds line 7-10
- Overall rank
- 42
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 2
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 9 and tier 2
- Board size230 draftable players
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