Start TreVeyon Henderson or Tony Pollard? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tony Pollard over TreVeyon Henderson
Right: 4.4 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 10.5
- fantasy pts
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 52%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 7%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- SEA D vs RB
- 18.5
- 12th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tony Pollard over TreVeyon Henderson in Week 1.
TreVeyon Henderson is listed out on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Tony Pollard. Drafters take Tony Pollard at ADP 70 and TreVeyon Henderson at 66.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for TreVeyon Henderson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Tony Pollard, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
TreVeyon Henderson and NE visit SEA.
SEA allowed 18.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 62 yards and no touchdowns against SEA and caught passes for 53 more yards.
Tony Pollard and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, TreVeyon Henderson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
TreVeyon Henderson was listed as out when the call was made.
Tony Pollard was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, TreVeyon Henderson played 17 games for NE and scored 206.2 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing RB21.
He ran 180 times for 911 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 42 targets for 221 yards.
He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 13 carries for 53 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 17.3 PPR points.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 34 of 66 snaps, 19 carries for 82 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 8.2 PPR points.
TreVeyon Henderson, Week 16 of 2025 against BAL: 14 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 3 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards, 2.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.
He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.
He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tony Pollard, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 14 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 9.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 37 of 74 snaps, 18 carries for 85 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 11.5 PPR points.
Tony Pollard, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 40 of 73 snaps, 21 carries for 102 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 10.2 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Tony Pollard scored 4.4 PPR points and TreVeyon Henderson scored 0.0.
The call was right: Tony Pollard outscored TreVeyon Henderson by 4.4.
Tony Pollard finished 6.1 points below the 10.5 the props implied.
Tony Pollard, Week 1 against NYJ: 26 of 50 snaps, 7 carries for 35 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tony Pollard finished as the week's RB44 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB21 · NE · bye 11
2025 vs catches line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 48
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB26 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 54
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board6
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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