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Start Trey McBride or Tyler Warren? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Trey McBride over Tyler Warren

Right: 24.5 to 10.3
Start

Trey McBride

TE · ARI · at LAC

LAC D vs TE
24.5
4th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
80%
Week 1
Target share
35%
Week 1
Scored
24.5
PPR pts
Sit

Tyler Warren

TE · IND · vs BAL

Books imply
2.1
fantasy pts
BAL D vs TE
10.3
12th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
93%
Week 1
Target share
17%
Week 1
Scored
10.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Trey McBride over Tyler Warren in Week 1.

Tyler Warren is priced by the books at 2.1 projected points and Trey McBride is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Trey McBride at ADP 38 and Tyler Warren at 68.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Trey McBride in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 2.1 fantasy points for Tyler Warren, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Trey McBride and ARI visit LAC.

LAC allowed 24.5 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 95 yards and a touchdown against LAC.

Tyler Warren and IND host BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 10.3 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 13 yards and a touchdown against BAL.

By points allowed to the position, Trey McBride has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trey McBride was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tyler Warren was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trey McBride played 17 games for ARI and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets and 656 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trey McBride, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 8 targets and 7 catches for 65 yards, 13.5 PPR points.

Trey McBride, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 55 of 57 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 76 yards, 1 touchdown, 23.6 PPR points.

Trey McBride, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 55 of 57 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 27 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Tyler Warren played 17 games for IND and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets and 343 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Warren, Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 8 targets and 5 catches for 26 yards, 7.6 PPR points.

Tyler Warren, Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 43 yards, 9.3 PPR points.

Tyler Warren, Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards, 6.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Trey McBride scored 24.5 PPR points and Tyler Warren scored 10.3.

The call was right: Trey McBride outscored Tyler Warren by 14.2.

Trey McBride, Week 1 against LAC: 60 of 75 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 24.5 PPR points.

Trey McBride finished as the week's TE2 in PPR scoring.

Tyler Warren finished 8.2 points above the 2.1 the props implied.

Tyler Warren, Week 1 against BAL: 50 of 54 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 10.3 PPR points.

Tyler Warren finished as the week's TE14 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE1 · ARI · bye 14

2025 vs rec yds line 9-8

Overall rank
6
Draft pick
ADP 6
Tier
1

Ranked behind

TE2 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs rec yds line 3-14

Overall rank
9
Draft pick
ADP 9
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick difference3 places of ADP
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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