Should I start Trey McBride or Tyler Warren in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Trey McBride's market-based projection is 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 8 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Tyler Warren's market-based projection is 11.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 7 market sources. That is the 58th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Trey McBride, and the board ranks him 36th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 31.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Warren, and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Trey McBride has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 27 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 23 of the offence's 88 third down targets, had 4 of its 29 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 57 two minute targets.

His 86 targets have averaged 6.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against LAR he caught 7 of 9 targets for 53 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DEN he caught 10 of 13 targets for 111 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DAL he caught 7 of 8 targets for 72 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Tyler Warren has been on the field for 88 percent of IND snaps, drawn 23 percent of the targets and had 12 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 49 third down targets, had 2 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 46 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against WAS he caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PIT he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against JAX he caught 4 of 10 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trey McBride played 17 games and scored 315.9 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing TE1.

He caught 126 of 169 targets for 1239 yards and 11 touchdowns, with 32 red zone targets.

That came to 9.9 targets a game, a 75 percent catch rate and 9.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Warren played 17 games and scored 188.5 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE4.

He caught 76 of 112 targets for 817 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 19 red zone targets.

That came to 6.6 targets a game, a 68 percent catch rate and 10.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Trey McBride scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Tyler Warren 11.1, 7.5 a game between them.

Trey McBride finished TE1 that year and Tyler Warren TE4.

Trey McBride had 57 more targets than Tyler Warren, 169 to 112.

Trey McBride had 422 more receiving yards than Tyler Warren, 1239 to 817.

This season Trey McBride holds the bigger snap share, 91 percent against 88 percent.

This season Trey McBride holds the bigger target share, 27 percent against 23 percent.

Byes and availability

Trey McBride is off in Week 14 and Tyler Warren in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.