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Start Tyjae Spears or Zach Charbonnet? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tyjae Spears over Zach Charbonnet

Right: 4.4 to 0.0
Start

Tyjae Spears

RB · TEN · vs NYJ

Books imply
1.8
fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB
8.8
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
50%
Week 1
Target share
14%
Week 1
Scored
4.4
PPR pts
Sit

Zach Charbonnet

RB · SEA · vs NE · pup

NE D vs RB
15.0
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tyjae Spears over Zach Charbonnet in Week 1.

Zach Charbonnet is listed pup on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Tyjae Spears. Drafters take Tyjae Spears at ADP 143 and Zach Charbonnet at 154. Market coverage on Tyjae Spears is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 1.8 fantasy points for Tyjae Spears, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Zach Charbonnet in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tyjae Spears and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.

Zach Charbonnet and SEA host NE.

NE allowed 15.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and no touchdowns against NE and caught passes for 26 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Zach Charbonnet has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyjae Spears was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Zach Charbonnet was listed as pup when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyjae Spears, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 carries for 18 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 9 yards, 9.7 PPR points.

Tyjae Spears, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 39 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 2 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 1.1 PPR points.

Tyjae Spears, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 34 of 73 snaps, 13 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Zach Charbonnet played 16 games for SEA and scored 181.4 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB24.

He ran 184 times for 730 yards and 12 touchdowns, and caught 20 of 24 targets for 144 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 69 snaps, 17 carries for 74 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 17 of 2025 against CAR: 35 of 66 snaps, 18 carries for 110 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 2 touchdowns, 26.2 PPR points.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 16 of 2025 against LAR: 38 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tyjae Spears scored 4.4 PPR points and Zach Charbonnet scored 0.0.

The call was right: Tyjae Spears outscored Zach Charbonnet by 4.4.

Tyjae Spears finished 2.6 points above the 1.8 the props implied.

Tyjae Spears, Week 1 against NYJ: 25 of 50 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.4 PPR points.

Tyjae Spears finished as the week's RB45 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB30 · TEN · bye 9

2025 vs rush yds line 5-8

Overall rank
58
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB52 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs carries line 10-6

Overall rank
200
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board142
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 11
  • Board size244 draftable players

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