Start Alvin Kamara or Tyjae Spears? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara
Right: 4.4 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 8.5
- fantasy pts
- NYJ D vs RB
- 8.8
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 50%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 14%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.4
- PPR pts
- DET D vs RB
- 25.0
- 12th most to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Tyjae Spears over Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Tyjae Spears is priced by the books at 8.5 projected points. Alvin Kamara has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tyjae Spears at ADP 138 and Alvin Kamara at 159. Market coverage on Tyjae Spears is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 8.5 fantasy points for Tyjae Spears, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Alvin Kamara in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Tyjae Spears and TEN host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NYJ allowed 8.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 47 yards and no touchdowns against NYJ and caught passes for 11 more yards.
Alvin Kamara and NO visit DET.
DET allowed 25.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 12th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 80 yards and a touchdown against DET and caught passes for 30 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Tyjae Spears was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Alvin Kamara was listed as questionable when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Tyjae Spears played 13 games for TEN and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.
He ran 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 yards.
He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Tyjae Spears, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 carries for 18 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 9 yards, 9.7 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 17 of 2025 against NO: 39 of 74 snaps, 6 carries for 2 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -1 yards, 1.1 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears, Week 16 of 2025 against KC: 34 of 73 snaps, 13 carries for 52 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 53 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.5 PPR points.
In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.
He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.
He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Tyjae Spears scored 4.4 PPR points and Alvin Kamara scored 0.0.
The call was right: Tyjae Spears outscored Alvin Kamara by 4.4.
Tyjae Spears finished 4.1 points below the 8.5 the props implied.
Tyjae Spears, Week 1 against NYJ: 25 of 50 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 4.4 PPR points.
Tyjae Spears finished as the week's RB45 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB29 · NO · bye 8
2025 vs rush yds line 2-9
- Overall rank
- 57
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB30 · TEN · bye 9
2025 vs rush yds line 5-8
- Overall rank
- 58
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board1
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant