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Start Woody Marks or Zach Charbonnet? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Woody Marks over Zach Charbonnet

Right: 5.0 to 0.0
Start

Woody Marks

RB · HOU · vs BUF

Books imply
2.7
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
33.9
7th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Week 1
Target share
3%
Week 1
Scored
5.0
PPR pts
Sit

Zach Charbonnet

RB · SEA · vs NE · pup

NE D vs RB
15.0
10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Woody Marks over Zach Charbonnet in Week 1.

Zach Charbonnet is listed pup on our news wire, so this is not a close call: start Woody Marks. Drafters take Woody Marks at ADP 132 and Zach Charbonnet at 137. Market coverage on Woody Marks is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.7 fantasy points for Woody Marks, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Zach Charbonnet in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Woody Marks and HOU host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 33.9 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 102 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF and caught passes for 17 more yards.

Zach Charbonnet and SEA host NE.

NE allowed 15.0 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and no touchdowns against NE and caught passes for 26 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Woody Marks has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Woody Marks was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Zach Charbonnet was listed as pup when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Woody Marks played 16 games for HOU and scored 151.1 PPR points, 9.4 a game, finishing RB29.

He ran 196 times for 703 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 36 targets for 208 yards.

He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Woody Marks, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 10 carries for 48 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.

Woody Marks, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 19 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 8.5 PPR points.

Woody Marks, Week 15 of 2025 against ARI: 15 of 67 snaps, 7 carries for 30 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 10.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Zach Charbonnet played 16 games for SEA and scored 181.4 PPR points, 11.3 a game, finishing RB24.

He ran 184 times for 730 yards and 12 touchdowns, and caught 20 of 24 targets for 144 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 18 of 2025 against SF: 39 of 69 snaps, 17 carries for 74 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown, 18.7 PPR points.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 17 of 2025 against CAR: 35 of 66 snaps, 18 carries for 110 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 2 touchdowns, 26.2 PPR points.

Zach Charbonnet, Week 16 of 2025 against LAR: 38 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.4 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Woody Marks scored 5.0 PPR points and Zach Charbonnet scored 0.0.

The call was right: Woody Marks outscored Zach Charbonnet by 5.0.

Woody Marks finished 2.3 points above the 2.7 the props implied.

Woody Marks, Week 1 against BUF: 40 of 79 snaps, 9 carries for 42 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for -2 yards, 5.0 PPR points.

Woody Marks finished as the week's RB42 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB27 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs catches line 3-7

Overall rank
55
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB52 · SEA · bye 11

2025 vs carries line 10-6

Overall rank
200
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board145
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 11
  • Board size244 draftable players

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