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Trade Chase Brown for Garrett Wilson? No, Brown is worth 11 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 90 rest of season and Garrett Wilson 79, so giving up Brown costs 11. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Wilson 16.3 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Wilson has drawn 28 percent of NYJ targets. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Wilson is at NE in Week 6 (13th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 11.

Chase Brown 9079 Garrett Wilson

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

Garrett Wilson

WR8NYJ

79

value, #22

Pts/game
16.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Garrett Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.716.716.3

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Wilson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 22nd overall. His 16.3 a game is 7.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 79.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Garrett Wilson at 14.7 in Week 3, 16.7 in Week 4 and 16.3 in Week 5, a median of 16.3 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Garrett Wilson has scored 86.4 PPR points in 5 games, 17.3 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 16.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR62 with 99.5 PPR points in 7 games, 14.2 a game.

Week 1 vs TEN: 13.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs GB: 16.7 points (WR14 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DET: 26.7 points (WR3 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 107 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CHI: 5.7 points (WR70 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CLE: 23.4 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson has averaged 7.8 targets and 6.0 catches for 68 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CHI he had 4 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Garrett Wilson has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

NE, Wilson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Garrett Wilson would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and Garrett Wilson

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Garrett Wilson?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 90 and Garrett Wilson 79, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Garrett Wilson?

    Chase Brown, 90 to 79. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.3 over 11 for Garrett Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number