Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Garrett Wilson? No, Jones is worth 16 more.
No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 rest of season and Garrett Wilson 79, so giving up Jones costs 16. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Wilson 16.3 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Wilson has drawn 28 percent of NYJ targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Wilson is at NE in Week 6 (13th most points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 16.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 16.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7 | 16.7 | 16.3 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
Wilson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 22nd overall. His 16.3 a game is 7.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 79.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Garrett Wilson at 14.7 in Week 3, 16.7 in Week 4 and 16.3 in Week 5, a median of 16.3 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Garrett Wilson has scored 86.4 PPR points in 5 games, 17.3 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 16.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR62 with 99.5 PPR points in 7 games, 14.2 a game.
Week 1 vs TEN: 13.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 75 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs GB: 16.7 points (WR14 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DET: 26.7 points (WR3 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 107 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs CHI: 5.7 points (WR70 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs CLE: 23.4 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson has averaged 7.8 targets and 6.0 catches for 68 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against CHI he had 4 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Garrett Wilson has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.
NE, Wilson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Garrett Wilson would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 17. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Garrett Wilson
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry95 vs 115
Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey95 vs 114
Garrett Wilson for Jaylen Warren79 vs 102
CeeDee Lamb for Garrett Wilson100 vs 79
Chuba Hubbard for Garrett Wilson96 vs 79
Ashton Jeanty for Garrett Wilson95 vs 79
Chase Brown for Garrett Wilson90 vs 79
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Garrett Wilson?
No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 and Garrett Wilson 79, a loss of 16. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Garrett Wilson?
Aaron Jones Sr., 95 to 79. He rates 16.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.3 over 11 for Garrett Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number