Trade Dalton Kincaid for Tyler Shough? No, Kincaid is worth 12 more.
No on value. Dalton Kincaid is worth 31 rest of season and Tyler Shough 19, so giving up Kincaid costs 12. Kincaid rates 12.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Shough 18.2 with 11. On usage, Kincaid has drawn 17 percent of BUF targets; Shough has thrown 44.8 passes and run 3.8 times a game. Kincaid is at LV in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to TEs); Shough is at NYG in Week 6 (16th fewest points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Dalton Kincaid wins by 12.

Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 12.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3 | 12.3 | 11.7 |
- Pts/game
- 18.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 18.2 | 18.9 | 16.6 |
Where the values come from
Kincaid is the 5th tight end on the chart and 52nd overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 31.
Shough is the 3rd quarterback on the chart and 62nd overall. His 18.2 a game is 1.7 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 19.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Dalton Kincaid at 12.3 in Week 3, 12.3 in Week 4 and 11.7 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Tyler Shough at 18.2 in Week 3, 18.9 in Week 4 and 16.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.2 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Dalton Kincaid has scored 46.0 PPR points in 4 games, 11.5 a game, 0.8 a game less than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished TE20 with 126.1 PPR points in 12 games, 10.5 a game.
Week 1 vs HOU: 18.0 points (TE5 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 130 yards, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DET: 22.5 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 66 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAC: 3.8 points (TE37 that week), 2 of 3 targets for 38 yards, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NE: 1.7 points (TE52 that week), 1 of 2 targets for 7 yards, 59 percent of snaps.
Tyler Shough has scored 90.2 PPR points in 5 games, 18.0 a game, level with the 18.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB26 with 164.0 PPR points in 11 games, 14.9 a game.
Week 1 vs DET: 25.2 points (QB6 that week), 410 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 8 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs BAL: 22.4 points (QB8 that week), 252 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LV: 24.8 points (QB6 that week), 255 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 36 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs ATL: 15.9 points (QB15 that week), 286 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 5 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIN: 1.8 points (QB29 that week), 96 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid has averaged 4.8 targets and 3.8 catches for 68 yards a game on 66 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 3 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against NE he had 2 targets on 59 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Tyler Shough has averaged 44.8 attempts, 301 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown passes a game, with 3.8 runs for 18 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against ATL he went 30 of 48 for 286 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Dalton Kincaid has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Tyler Shough has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.
LV, Kincaid's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to TEs of 32.
NYG, Shough's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.8 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 16th fewest to QBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Tyler Shough would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Kincaid also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Dalton Kincaid and Tyler Shough

Dalton Kincaid for Jalen Coker31 vs 43
Dalton Kincaid for Josh Downs31 vs 37
Dalton Kincaid for Jacory Croskey-Merritt31 vs 36
Dalton Kincaid for Jaylen Waddle31 vs 36
Dalton Kincaid for Malik Nabers31 vs 36
Tyler Shough for Tyler Warren19 vs 31
DK Metcalf for Tyler Shough30 vs 19
Rhamondre Stevenson for Tyler Shough30 vs 19
Omarion Hampton for Tyler Shough26 vs 19
Luther Burden III for Tyler Shough24 vs 19
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Dalton Kincaid for Tyler Shough?
No on value: Dalton Kincaid is worth 31 and Tyler Shough 19, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Kincaid.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Dalton Kincaid or Tyler Shough?
Dalton Kincaid, 31 to 19. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.2 over 11 for Tyler Shough, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number