Trade David Montgomery for Josh Downs? Close to even, 35 to 37.
Close to even. On rest-of-season value David Montgomery is 35 and Josh Downs is 37, a 2 point edge to Downs that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Montgomery rates 11.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Downs 12.5 with 11. On usage, Montgomery has 52 percent of HOU carries and 5 percent of its targets; Downs has drawn 23 percent of IND targets. Montgomery is at JAX in Week 6 (10th fewest points allowed to RBs); Downs hosts TEN in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to WRs). David Montgomery is listed Out (groin).
The verdict, Week 5
Close to even.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 11.1
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 11.1 | 12.0 | 10.5 |
- Pts/game
- 12.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 11.4 | 14.2 | 12.5 |
Where the values come from
Montgomery is the 23rd running back on the chart and 48th overall. His 11.1 a game is 3.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 35.
Downs is the 18th receiver on the chart and 42nd overall. His 12.5 a game is 3.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 37.
The weekly market prices
The market priced David Montgomery at 11.1 in Week 3, 12.0 in Week 4 and 10.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.1 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4 and 12.5 in Week 5, a median of 12.5 points a game, up 1.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
David Montgomery has scored 45.5 PPR points in 5 games, 9.1 a game, 2.0 a game less than the 11.1 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB27 with 166.9 PPR points in 17 games with DET, 9.8 a game.
Week 1 vs BUF: 28.9 points (RB7 that week), 60 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CIN: 4.4 points (RB48 that week), 10 rushing yards on 6 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs IND: 6.8 points (RB36 that week), 33 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards, 63 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DAL: 4.3 points (RB49 that week), 24 rushing yards on 10 carries, 56 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TEN: 1.1 points (RB63 that week), 11 rushing yards on 5 carries.
Josh Downs has scored 44.9 PPR points in 5 games, 9.0 a game, 3.5 a game less than the 12.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.
Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR40 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, David Montgomery has averaged 11.8 carries for 32 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 12 yards a game on 54 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 35 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DAL he had 10 carries and 0 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.3 catches for 51 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against WAS he had 4 targets on 77 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. David Montgomery has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Josh Downs has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.
JAX, Montgomery's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 10th fewest to RBs of 32.
TEN, Downs's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.
Other trades for David Montgomery and Josh Downs
David Montgomery for Parker Washington35 vs 50
Bucky Irving for David Montgomery48 vs 35
Bhayshul Tuten for David Montgomery45 vs 35
David Montgomery for Jalen Coker35 vs 43
David Montgomery for Jacory Croskey-Merritt35 vs 36- Josh Downs for Parker Washington37 vs 50
- Bucky Irving for Josh Downs48 vs 37
- Bhayshul Tuten for Josh Downs45 vs 37
- Jalen Coker for Josh Downs43 vs 37
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt for Josh Downs36 vs 37
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade David Montgomery for Josh Downs?
It is close to even: David Montgomery is 35 and Josh Downs is 37 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.
Who has more rest-of-season value, David Montgomery or Josh Downs?
Josh Downs, 37 to 35. He rates 12.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.1 over 11 for David Montgomery, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number