Trade Derrick Henry for Trey McBride? No, Henry is worth 31 more.
No on value. Derrick Henry is worth 115 rest of season and Trey McBride 84, so giving up Henry costs 31. Henry rates 18.4 market points a game with 11 games left, McBride 17.1 with 11. On usage, Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets; McBride has drawn 31 percent of ARI targets. Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs); McBride is at LAR in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Derrick Henry wins by 31.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 18.4
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4 | 18.6 | 15.6 |
- Pts/game
- 17.1
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 14
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 16.3 | 17.1 | 19.3 |
Where the values come from
Henry is the 5th running back on the chart and 7th overall. His 18.4 a game is 10.5 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 115.
McBride is the 1st tight end on the chart and 20th overall. His 17.1 a game is 7.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 84.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4 and 15.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.4 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Trey McBride at 16.3 in Week 3, 17.1 in Week 4 and 19.3 in Week 5, a median of 17.1 points a game, up 2.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 18.4 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.
Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.
Trey McBride has scored 90.8 PPR points in 5 games, 18.2 a game, 1.1 a game more than the 17.1 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished TE1 with 315.9 PPR points in 17 games, 18.6 a game.
Week 1 vs LAC: 24.5 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs SEA: 18.1 points (TE6 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs SF: 16.5 points (TE8 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 91 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NYG: 10.1 points (TE19 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 31 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs DET: 21.6 points (TE3 that week), 9 of 10 targets for 66 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.3 carries for 94 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 11 yards a game on 59 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 23 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against TEN he had 23 carries and 2 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Trey McBride has averaged 11.5 targets and 8.3 catches for 61 yards a game on 89 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against NYG he had 12 targets on 97 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Derrick Henry has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Trey McBride has 11 games with his bye in Week 14.
CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.
LAR, McBride's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 6.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to TEs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Trey McBride would want about 31 more added to make it even: a player like Dalton Kincaid, valued at 31. Two players for Henry also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Derrick Henry and Trey McBride
Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry154 vs 115
Derrick Henry for Kenneth Walker115 vs 145
Derrick Henry for Jaxon Smith-Njigba115 vs 120
Derrick Henry for Jonathan Taylor115 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Derrick Henry119 vs 115- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Trey McBride120 vs 84
- Jonathan Taylor for Trey McBride120 vs 84
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Trey McBride119 vs 84
Christian McCaffrey for Trey McBride114 vs 84
Jaylen Warren for Trey McBride102 vs 84
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Derrick Henry for Trey McBride?
No on value: Derrick Henry is worth 115 and Trey McBride 84, a loss of 31. It can still help a lineup that needs a tight end more than it needs Henry.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Derrick Henry or Trey McBride?
Derrick Henry, 115 to 84. He rates 18.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.1 over 11 for Trey McBride, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number