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Trade DJ Moore for Patrick Mahomes? Close to even, 22 to 18.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value DJ Moore is 22 and Patrick Mahomes is 18, a 4 point edge to Moore that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Moore rates 11.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Mahomes 18.0 with 12. On usage, Moore has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Mahomes has thrown 32.0 passes and run 2.0 times a game. Moore is at LV in Week 6 (6th fewest points allowed to WRs); Mahomes hosts LAC in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to QBs). DJ Moore is listed Questionable (undisclosed).

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

DJ Moore 2218 Patrick Mahomes

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DJ Moore

WR26BUFQuestionable

22

value, #60

Pts/game
11.1
Games left
11
Bye
7
DJ Moore weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
11.111.42.5

18

value, #63

Pts/game
18.0
Games left
12
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
18.317.7not priced

Where the values come from

Moore is the 26th receiver on the chart and 60th overall. His 11.1 a game is 2.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 22.

Mahomes is the 4th quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly market prices

The market priced DJ Moore at 11.1 in Week 3, 11.4 in Week 4 and 2.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.1 points a game, down 8.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3 and 17.7 in Week 4, a median of 18.0 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DJ Moore has scored 36.3 PPR points in 4 games, 9.1 a game, 2.0 a game less than the 11.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR35 with 170.2 PPR points in 17 games with CHI, 10.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 21.0 points (WR9 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 100 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: -0.1 points (WR119 that week), -1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards, 31 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 12.7 points (WR31 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 67 yards, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 2.7 points (WR87 that week), 6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Patrick Mahomes has scored 85.6 PPR points in 4 games, 21.4 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 18.0 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, DJ Moore has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 5.0 targets and 3.0 catches for 45 yards a game on 51 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NE he had 1 carry and 2 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 32.0 attempts, 259 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown passes a game, with 2.0 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against LV he went 15 of 30 for 225 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. DJ Moore has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Patrick Mahomes has 12 games with no bye left.

LV, Moore's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 26.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 6th fewest to WRs of 32.

LAC, Mahomes's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.9 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to QBs of 32.

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade DJ Moore for Patrick Mahomes?

    It is close to even: DJ Moore is 22 and Patrick Mahomes is 18 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DJ Moore or Patrick Mahomes?

    DJ Moore, 22 to 18. He rates 11.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.0 over 12 for Patrick Mahomes, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number