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Trade Luther Burden III for Patrick Mahomes? Close to even, 24 to 18.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Luther Burden III is 24 and Patrick Mahomes is 18, a 6 point edge to Burden that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Burden rates 11.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Mahomes 18.0 with 12. On usage, Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets; Mahomes has thrown 32.0 passes and run 2.0 times a game. Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs); Mahomes hosts LAC in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Luther Burden III 2418 Patrick Mahomes

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Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Patrick Mahomes

QB4KC

18

value, #63

Pts/game
18.0
Games left
12
Bye
5
Patrick Mahomes weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
18.317.7not priced

Where the values come from

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

Mahomes is the 4th quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.0 a game is 1.5 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Patrick Mahomes at 18.3 in Week 3 and 17.7 in Week 4, a median of 18.0 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Patrick Mahomes has scored 85.6 PPR points in 4 games, 21.4 a game, 3.4 a game more than the 18.0 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB11 with 296.7 PPR points in 14 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 22.7 points (QB9 that week), 184 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 29.0 points (QB4 that week), 382 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 17 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 16.9 points (QB20 that week), 246 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 17.0 points (QB13 that week), 225 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Patrick Mahomes has averaged 32.0 attempts, 259 passing yards and 2.3 touchdown passes a game, with 2.0 runs for 12 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against LV he went 15 of 30 for 225 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Luther Burden III has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Patrick Mahomes has 12 games with no bye left.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

LAC, Mahomes's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.9 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to QBs of 32.

Other trades for Luther Burden III and Patrick Mahomes

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Luther Burden III for Patrick Mahomes?

    It is close to even: Luther Burden III is 24 and Patrick Mahomes is 18 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Luther Burden III or Patrick Mahomes?

    Luther Burden III, 24 to 18. He rates 11.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.0 over 12 for Patrick Mahomes, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number