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Trade Garrett Wilson for Zay Flowers? No, Wilson is worth 13 more.

No on value. Garrett Wilson is worth 79 rest of season and Zay Flowers 66, so giving up Wilson costs 13. Wilson rates 16.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Flowers 15.1 with 11. On usage, Wilson has drawn 28 percent of NYJ targets; Flowers has drawn 30 percent of BAL targets. Wilson is at NE in Week 6 (13th most points allowed to WRs); Flowers is at CLE in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Garrett Wilson wins by 13.

Garrett Wilson 7966 Zay Flowers

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Garrett Wilson

WR8NYJ

79

value, #22

Pts/game
16.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Garrett Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.716.716.3

Zay Flowers

WR10BAL

66

value, #28

Pts/game
15.1
Games left
11
Bye
13
Zay Flowers weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.115.114.6

Where the values come from

Wilson is the 8th receiver on the chart and 22nd overall. His 16.3 a game is 7.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 79.

Flowers is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 15.1 a game is 6.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 66.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Garrett Wilson at 14.7 in Week 3, 16.7 in Week 4 and 16.3 in Week 5, a median of 16.3 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Zay Flowers at 16.1 in Week 3, 15.1 in Week 4 and 14.6 in Week 5, a median of 15.1 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Garrett Wilson has scored 86.4 PPR points in 5 games, 17.3 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 16.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR62 with 99.5 PPR points in 7 games, 14.2 a game.

Week 1 vs TEN: 13.9 points (WR23 that week), 6 of 7 targets for 79 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs GB: 16.7 points (WR14 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 57 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DET: 26.7 points (WR3 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 107 yards, 1 touchdown, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs CHI: 5.7 points (WR70 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 27 yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CLE: 23.4 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 11 targets for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Zay Flowers has scored 81.8 PPR points in 4 games, 20.5 a game, 5.4 a game more than the 15.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR7 with 243.3 PPR points in 17 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 26.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 29 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 15.4 points (WR22 that week), 20 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards, 33 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 25.8 points (WR7 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 14.6 points (WR18 that week), 13 rushing yards on 1 carry, 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Garrett Wilson has averaged 7.8 targets and 6.0 catches for 68 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 1 time inside the 20, 4 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against CHI he had 4 targets on 100 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has averaged 7.3 targets and 6.0 catches for 117 yards a game on 45 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 10 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Garrett Wilson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Zay Flowers has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

NE, Wilson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 13th most to WRs of 32.

CLE, Flowers's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Zay Flowers would want about 13 more added to make it even: a player like Drake Maye, valued at 14. Two players for Wilson also costs that side a roster spot.

Drake Maye's player page

Other trades for Garrett Wilson and Zay Flowers

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Garrett Wilson for Zay Flowers?

    No on value: Garrett Wilson is worth 79 and Zay Flowers 66, a loss of 13. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Wilson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Garrett Wilson or Zay Flowers?

    Garrett Wilson, 79 to 66. He rates 16.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.1 over 11 for Zay Flowers, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number