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Trade Jaylen Waddle for Travis Kelce? Close to even, 36 to 34.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Jaylen Waddle is 36 and Travis Kelce is 34, a 2 point edge to Waddle that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Waddle rates 12.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Kelce 12.3 with 12. On usage, Waddle has drawn 21 percent of DEN targets; Kelce has drawn 19 percent of KC targets. Waddle hosts SEA in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs); Kelce hosts LAC in Week 6 (8th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Jaylen Waddle 3634 Travis Kelce

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36

value, #43

Pts/game
12.4
Games left
11
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.512.412.2

34

value, #49

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
12
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.611.9not priced

Where the values come from

Waddle is the 19th receiver on the chart and 43rd overall. His 12.4 a game is 3.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 36.

Kelce is the 3rd tight end on the chart and 49th overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 34.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4 and 12.2 in Week 5, a median of 12.4 points a game, flat across them.

The market priced Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3 and 11.9 in Week 4, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 0.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Waddle has scored 48.7 PPR points in 5 games, 9.7 a game, 2.7 a game less than the 12.4 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR62 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards.

Travis Kelce has scored 52.6 PPR points in 4 games, 13.2 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 46 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 7 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against SF he had 6 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 62 yards a game on 80 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against LV he had 4 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaylen Waddle has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Travis Kelce has 12 games with no bye left.

SEA, Waddle's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

LAC, Kelce's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 9.9 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 8th fewest to TEs of 32.

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Waddle for Travis Kelce?

    It is close to even: Jaylen Waddle is 36 and Travis Kelce is 34 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Waddle or Travis Kelce?

    Jaylen Waddle, 36 to 34. He rates 12.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 12.3 over 12 for Travis Kelce, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number