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Trade Jaylen Waddle for Tyler Warren? Close to even, 36 to 31.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Jaylen Waddle is 36 and Tyler Warren is 31, a 5 point edge to Waddle that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Waddle rates 12.4 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 12.3 with 11. On usage, Waddle has drawn 21 percent of DEN targets; Warren has drawn 22 percent of IND targets. Waddle hosts SEA in Week 6 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs); Warren hosts TEN in Week 6 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Jaylen Waddle 3631 Tyler Warren

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36

value, #43

Pts/game
12.4
Games left
11
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
12.512.412.2

31

value, #53

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Tyler Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
10.912.812.3

Where the values come from

Waddle is the 19th receiver on the chart and 43rd overall. His 12.4 a game is 3.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 36.

Warren is the 6th tight end on the chart and 53rd overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 31.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4 and 12.2 in Week 5, a median of 12.4 points a game, flat across them.

The market priced Tyler Warren at 10.9 in Week 3, 12.8 in Week 4 and 12.3 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, up 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Waddle has scored 48.7 PPR points in 5 games, 9.7 a game, 2.7 a game less than the 12.4 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR62 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards.

Tyler Warren has scored 69.9 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 1.7 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished TE4 with 188.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 10.3 points (TE14 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.4 points (TE10 that week), 3 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 14.7 points (TE10 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 9.1 points (TE21 that week), 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 21.4 points (TE5 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 46 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 7 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against SF he had 6 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tyler Warren has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 6.8 targets and 5.8 catches for 33 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against WAS he had 5 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Jaylen Waddle has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Tyler Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

SEA, Waddle's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

TEN, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 10.3 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Waddle for Tyler Warren?

    It is close to even: Jaylen Waddle is 36 and Tyler Warren is 31 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Waddle or Tyler Warren?

    Jaylen Waddle, 36 to 31. He rates 12.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 12.3 over 11 for Tyler Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number