Skip to main content
parlae.ioBeta
Sign in

Trade Josh Downs for Tyler Warren? Close to even, 37 to 31.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Josh Downs is 37 and Tyler Warren is 31, a 6 point edge to Downs that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Downs rates 12.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 12.3 with 11. On usage, Downs has drawn 23 percent of IND targets; Warren has drawn 22 percent of IND targets. Downs hosts TEN in Week 6 (14th most points allowed to WRs); Warren hosts TEN in Week 6 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Josh Downs 3731 Tyler Warren

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

Give Downs, get WarrenGive Warren, get Downs

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

SleeperESPNYahoo

Josh Downs

WR18IND

37

value, #42

Pts/game
12.5
Games left
11
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
11.414.212.5

Tyler Warren

TE6IND

31

value, #53

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Tyler Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
10.912.812.3

Where the values come from

Downs is the 18th receiver on the chart and 42nd overall. His 12.5 a game is 3.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 37.

Warren is the 6th tight end on the chart and 53rd overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 31.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4 and 12.5 in Week 5, a median of 12.5 points a game, up 1.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Tyler Warren at 10.9 in Week 3, 12.8 in Week 4 and 12.3 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, up 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

Josh Downs has scored 44.9 PPR points in 5 games, 9.0 a game, 3.5 a game less than the 12.5 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR40 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Tyler Warren has scored 69.9 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 1.7 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished TE4 with 188.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 10.3 points (TE14 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.4 points (TE10 that week), 3 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 14.7 points (TE10 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 9.1 points (TE21 that week), 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 21.4 points (TE5 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.3 catches for 51 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against WAS he had 4 targets on 77 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tyler Warren has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 6.8 targets and 5.8 catches for 33 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against WAS he had 5 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Josh Downs has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Tyler Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

TEN, Downs's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 34.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.

TEN, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 10.3 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

Other trades for Josh Downs and Tyler Warren

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Josh Downs for Tyler Warren?

    It is close to even: Josh Downs is 37 and Tyler Warren is 31 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Downs or Tyler Warren?

    Josh Downs, 37 to 31. He rates 12.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 12.3 over 11 for Tyler Warren, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number