Trade J.K. Dobbins for Joe Burrow? No, Dobbins is worth 11 more.
No on value. J.K. Dobbins is worth 15 rest of season and Joe Burrow 4, so giving up Dobbins costs 11. Dobbins rates 9.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Burrow 16.9 with 11. On usage, Dobbins has 53 percent of DEN carries and 3 percent of its targets; Burrow has thrown 39.3 passes and run 2.3 times a game. Dobbins hosts SEA in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to RBs); Burrow is on bye in Week 6. Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping J.K. Dobbins wins by 11.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 9.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 10.5 | 9.3 |
- Pts/game
- 16.9
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4 | 17.5 | 16.9 |
Where the values come from
Dobbins is the 28th running back on the chart and 67th overall. His 9.3 a game is 1.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 15.
Burrow is the 9th quarterback on the chart and 80th overall. His 16.9 a game is 0.4 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 4.
The weekly market prices
The market priced J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4 and 9.3 in Week 5, a median of 9.3 points a game, up 5.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Joe Burrow at 16.4 in Week 3, 17.5 in Week 4 and 16.9 in Week 5, a median of 16.9 points a game, flat across them.
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Points so far against the price
J.K. Dobbins has scored 36.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.2 a game, 2.1 a game less than the 9.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.
Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB13 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.
Joe Burrow has scored 104.2 PPR points in 5 games, 20.8 a game, 3.9 a game more than the 16.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB29 with 139.5 PPR points in 8 games, 17.4 a game.
Week 1 vs TB: 15.2 points (QB20 that week), 254 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 20 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs HOU: 16.2 points (QB15 that week), 207 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, -1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PIT: 22.6 points (QB10 that week), 282 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 13 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs JAX: 25.7 points (QB2 that week), 428 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 6 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIA: 24.6 points (QB7 that week), 190 passing yards, 4 touchdown passes, 10 rushing yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 11.5 carries for 40 yards and 1.0 targets and 0.8 catches for 4 yards a game on 40 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 21 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against SF he had 11 carries and 2 targets on 32 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Joe Burrow has averaged 39.3 attempts, 293 passing yards and 1.8 touchdown passes a game, with 2.3 runs for 10 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against JAX he went 39 of 54 for 428 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. J.K. Dobbins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Joe Burrow has 11 games with his bye in Week 6.
SEA, Dobbins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Joe Burrow would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Dobbins also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for J.K. Dobbins and Joe Burrow
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade J.K. Dobbins for Joe Burrow?
No on value: J.K. Dobbins is worth 15 and Joe Burrow 4, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Dobbins.
Who has more rest-of-season value, J.K. Dobbins or Joe Burrow?
J.K. Dobbins, 15 to 4. He rates 9.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.9 over 11 for Joe Burrow, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number