Trade J.K. Dobbins for Luther Burden III? Yes, Burden is worth 9 more.
Yes on value. Luther Burden III is worth 24 rest of season and J.K. Dobbins 15, so the side getting Burden gains 9. Dobbins rates 9.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Burden 11.3 with 11. On usage, Dobbins has 53 percent of DEN carries and 3 percent of its targets; Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets. Dobbins hosts SEA in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to RBs); Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Luther Burden III wins by 9.
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Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 9.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1 | 10.5 | 9.3 |
- Pts/game
- 11.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | 11.3 | 11.5 |
Where the values come from
Dobbins is the 28th running back on the chart and 67th overall. His 9.3 a game is 1.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 15.
Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.
The weekly market prices
The market priced J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4 and 9.3 in Week 5, a median of 9.3 points a game, up 5.2 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
J.K. Dobbins has scored 36.1 PPR points in 5 games, 7.2 a game, 2.1 a game less than the 9.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.
Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB13 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.
Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.
Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 11.5 carries for 40 yards and 1.0 targets and 0.8 catches for 4 yards a game on 40 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 21 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.
In Week 4 against SF he had 11 carries and 2 targets on 32 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. J.K. Dobbins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Luther Burden III has 11 games with his bye in Week 10.
SEA, Dobbins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 21.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to RBs of 32.
ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting J.K. Dobbins would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Trevor Lawrence, valued at 8. Two players for Burden also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for J.K. Dobbins and Luther Burden III
J.K. Dobbins for Omarion Hampton15 vs 26
J.K. Dobbins for Sam LaPorta15 vs 25
Jameson Williams for J.K. Dobbins24 vs 15
DJ Moore for J.K. Dobbins22 vs 15
J.K. Dobbins for Tony Pollard15 vs 22
Jacory Croskey-Merritt for Luther Burden III36 vs 24
Jaylen Waddle for Luther Burden III36 vs 24
Luther Burden III for Malik Nabers24 vs 36
David Montgomery for Luther Burden III35 vs 24
Luther Burden III for Matthew Golden24 vs 35
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade J.K. Dobbins for Luther Burden III?
Yes on value: Luther Burden III is worth 24 and J.K. Dobbins 15, a gain of 9. If J.K. Dobbins starts for you and Luther Burden III would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, J.K. Dobbins or Luther Burden III?
Luther Burden III, 24 to 15. He rates 11.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 9.3 over 11 for J.K. Dobbins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number