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Trade Tetairoa McMillan for Zay Flowers? Close to even, 58 to 66.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Tetairoa McMillan is 58 and Zay Flowers is 66, a 8 point edge to Flowers that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. McMillan rates 13.9 market points a game with 12 games left, Flowers 15.1 with 11. On usage, McMillan has drawn 27 percent of CAR targets; Flowers has drawn 30 percent of BAL targets. McMillan is at PHI in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to WRs); Flowers is at CLE in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Tetairoa McMillan 5866 Zay Flowers

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Tetairoa McMillan

WR12CAR

58

value, #32

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
12
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
13.114.7not priced

Zay Flowers

WR10BAL

66

value, #28

Pts/game
15.1
Games left
11
Bye
13
Zay Flowers weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.115.114.6

Where the values come from

McMillan is the 12th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.

Flowers is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 15.1 a game is 6.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 66.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3 and 14.7 in Week 4, a median of 13.9 points a game, up 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Zay Flowers at 16.1 in Week 3, 15.1 in Week 4 and 14.6 in Week 5, a median of 15.1 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 74.5 PPR points in 4 games, 18.6 a game, 4.7 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Zay Flowers has scored 81.8 PPR points in 4 games, 20.5 a game, 5.4 a game more than the 15.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR7 with 243.3 PPR points in 17 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 26.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 29 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 15.4 points (WR22 that week), 20 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards, 33 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 25.8 points (WR7 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 14.6 points (WR18 that week), 13 rushing yards on 1 carry, 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.5 catches for 96 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against DET he had 16 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has averaged 7.3 targets and 6.0 catches for 117 yards a game on 45 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 10 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Tetairoa McMillan has 12 games in it with no bye left; Zay Flowers has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

PHI, McMillan's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

CLE, Flowers's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Tetairoa McMillan and Zay Flowers

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Tetairoa McMillan for Zay Flowers?

    It is close to even: Tetairoa McMillan is 58 and Zay Flowers is 66 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Tetairoa McMillan or Zay Flowers?

    Zay Flowers, 66 to 58. He rates 15.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 12 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number