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Trade Nico Collins for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Collins is worth 15 more.

No on value. Nico Collins is worth 73 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 58, so giving up Collins costs 15. Collins rates 15.7 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 13.9 with 12. On usage, Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets; McMillan has drawn 27 percent of CAR targets. Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs); McMillan is at PHI in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Nico Collins wins by 15.

Nico Collins 7358 Tetairoa McMillan

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Nico Collins

WR9HOU

73

value, #25

Pts/game
15.7
Games left
11
Bye
8
Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
2.815.716.7

Tetairoa McMillan

WR12CAR

58

value, #32

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
12
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
13.114.7not priced

Where the values come from

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

McMillan is the 12th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3 and 14.7 in Week 4, a median of 13.9 points a game, up 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 74.5 PPR points in 4 games, 18.6 a game, 4.7 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.5 catches for 96 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against DET he had 16 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Nico Collins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Tetairoa McMillan has 12 games with no bye left.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

PHI, McMillan's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 15 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 15. Two players for Collins also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

Other trades for Nico Collins and Tetairoa McMillan

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Nico Collins for Tetairoa McMillan?

    No on value: Nico Collins is worth 73 and Tetairoa McMillan 58, a loss of 15. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Collins.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Nico Collins or Tetairoa McMillan?

    Nico Collins, 73 to 58. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 12 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number