Trade Tony Pollard for Travis Kelce? Yes, Kelce is worth 12 more.
Yes on value. Travis Kelce is worth 34 rest of season and Tony Pollard 22, so the side getting Kelce gains 12. Pollard rates 9.9 market points a game with 11 games left, Kelce 12.3 with 12. On usage, Pollard has 60 percent of TEN carries and 10 percent of its targets; Kelce has drawn 19 percent of KC targets. Pollard is at IND in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to RBs); Kelce hosts LAC in Week 6 (8th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Travis Kelce wins by 12.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 9.9
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 9
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 9.9 | 9.9 | 9.6 |
- Pts/game
- 12.3
- Games left
- 12
- Bye
- 5
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6 | 11.9 | not priced |
Where the values come from
Pollard is the 26th running back on the chart and 61st overall. His 9.9 a game is 2.0 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 9, which is how he comes to 22.
Kelce is the 3rd tight end on the chart and 49th overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 34.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Tony Pollard at 9.9 in Week 3, 9.9 in Week 4 and 9.6 in Week 5, a median of 9.9 points a game, flat across them.
The market priced Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3 and 11.9 in Week 4, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 0.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Tony Pollard has scored 43.7 PPR points in 5 games, 8.7 a game, 1.2 a game less than the 9.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB23 with 185.8 PPR points in 17 games, 10.9 a game.
Week 1 vs NYJ: 4.4 points (RB44 that week), 35 rushing yards on 7 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -1 yards, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs PHI: 7.5 points (RB37 that week), 64 rushing yards on 14 carries, 1 of 1 target for 1 yards, 55 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs NYG: 13.6 points (RB16 that week), 74 rushing yards on 17 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 22 yards, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs BAL: 13.0 points (RB24 that week), 48 rushing yards on 16 carries, 2 of 4 targets for 2 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs HOU: 5.2 points (RB34 that week), 52 rushing yards on 14 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards.
Travis Kelce has scored 52.6 PPR points in 4 games, 13.2 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.
Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Tony Pollard has averaged 13.5 carries for 55 yards and 2.8 targets and 2.0 catches for 6 yards a game on 53 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 17 times inside the 20, 43 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against BAL he had 16 carries and 4 targets on 53 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 62 yards a game on 80 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against LV he had 4 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Tony Pollard has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 9; Travis Kelce has 12 games with no bye left.
IND, Pollard's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 24.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to RBs of 32.
LAC, Kelce's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 9.9 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 8th fewest to TEs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Tony Pollard would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Tucker Kraft, valued at 12. Two players for Kelce also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Tony Pollard and Travis Kelce
Lamar Jackson for Tony Pollard33 vs 22
George Kittle for Tony Pollard32 vs 22
Dalton Kincaid for Tony Pollard31 vs 22
Tony Pollard for Tyler Warren22 vs 31
DK Metcalf for Tony Pollard30 vs 22
Bucky Irving for Travis Kelce48 vs 34
Bhayshul Tuten for Travis Kelce45 vs 34
Jalen Coker for Travis Kelce43 vs 34
Josh Downs for Travis Kelce37 vs 34
Jacory Croskey-Merritt for Travis Kelce36 vs 34
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Tony Pollard for Travis Kelce?
Yes on value: Travis Kelce is worth 34 and Tony Pollard 22, a gain of 12. If Tony Pollard starts for you and Travis Kelce would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Tony Pollard or Travis Kelce?
Travis Kelce, 34 to 22. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 12 games left, against 9.9 over 11 for Tony Pollard, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number