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Pick'em edge

When the books think a pick'em number is wrong, that's your play. More or Less, reason attached.

Only football (NFL) has pick'em lines we can price right now.

The loudest calls

Real sportsbooks post the exact same number. 50% is a coin flip; the further from 50, the harder the books disagree with the board.

Football · NFL

  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 31% (14 price this number).
  • Aaron RodgersFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 69% (14 price this number).
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 31% (15 price this number).
  • Geno SmithFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 33% (10 price this number).
  • Daniel JonesFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 33% (13 price this number).
  • Adam TrautmanFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 34% (9 price this number).
  • Jalen McmillanFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 35% (2 price this number).
  • Matthew StaffordFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 64% (13 price this number).
  • Drew LockFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (14 price this number).
  • Noah GrayFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (8 price this number).
  • Tyquan ThorntonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 36% (11 price this number).
  • Eddy PineiroFootballextrapoints kicksmade 3.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 37% (2 price this number).
  • Deshaun WatsonFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 63% (15 price this number).
  • Cam WardFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 62% (14 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 38% (15 price this number).
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing touchdowns 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 62% (15 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 38% (2 price this number).
  • Marshawn LloydFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 38% (12 price this number).
  • Rashid ShaheedFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Riley PattersonFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 39% (2 price this number).
  • Cam LittleFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Brock PurdyFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 39% (11 price this number).
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (5 price this number).
  • Wil LutzFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Chase MclaughlinFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (2 price this number).
  • Cameron DickerFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (3 price this number).
  • Roman WilsonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 61% (12 price this number).
  • Pat BryantFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (11 price this number).
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (11 price this number).
  • Dominic ZvadaFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 60% (2 price this number).
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (7 price this number).
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (8 price this number).
  • Josh DownsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 60% (4 price this number).
  • Bucky IrvingFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 40% (4 price this number).
  • Dk MetcalfFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (8 price this number).
  • Marvin Harrison JrFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (10 price this number).
  • Kenneth Walker IiiFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (3 price this number).
  • Kayshon BoutteFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (7 price this number).
  • Jason MyersFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Joey SlyeFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessBooks say 41% (2 price this number).
  • Harold Fannin JrFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Devon AchaneFootballreceiving receptions 4.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (9 price this number).
  • David MontgomeryFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (8 price this number).
  • Jalen HurtsFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (11 price this number).
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 41% (13 price this number).
  • Malik WillisFootballpassing touchdowns 0.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 59% (14 price this number).
  • Greg DulcichFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (12 price this number).
  • Darnell WashingtonFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (12 price this number).
  • Andy BorregalesFootballextrapoints kicksmade 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (3 price this number).
  • Tee HigginsFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (8 price this number).
  • Cooper KuppFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (11 price this number).
  • Evan EngramFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (8 price this number).
  • Riley PattersonFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (2 price this number).
  • Chris BrooksFootballreceiving receptions 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (12 price this number).
  • Andre SzmytFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (3 price this number).
  • Andy BorregalesFootballfield goals made 1.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (3 price this number).
  • Spencer ShraderFootballextrapoints kicksmade 1.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreBooks say 58% (2 price this number).
  • Patrick MahomesFootballinterceptions thrown 0.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 42% (12 price this number).
  • Cade OttonFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLMoreBooks say 58% (10 price this number).
  • Demario DouglasFootballreceiving receptions 3.5on Fliff· NFLLessBooks say 43% (14 price this number).

The number is off

The board asks one number, the books post another. The gap is the whole read; we never turn it into a made-up percentage.

Football · NFL

  • Joe BurrowFootballpassing+rushing yards 256.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 256.5. Books say 263.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing+receiving yards 56.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 56.5. Books say 54.
  • Marshawn LloydFootballrushing+receiving yards 63.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 63.5. Books say 61.5.
  • Dominic ZvadaFootballkicking totalpoints 6.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketLessThey ask 6.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing+rushing yards 202.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 202.5. Books say 199.5.
  • Jaxson DartFootballpassing+rushing yards 247.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 247.5. Books say 250.5.
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing+rushing yards 255.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 255.5. Books say 252.5.
  • Trevor LawrenceFootballpassing yards 220.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 220.5. Books say 222.5.
  • Deshaun WatsonFootballpassing yards 177.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 177.5. Books say 175.5.
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballreceiving longestreception 8.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 8.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Cam WardFootballpassing longestcompletion 32.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 32.5. Books say 33.5.
  • Gunnar HelmFootballreceiving yards 21.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 21.5. Books say 22.5.
  • Dontayvion WicksFootballreceiving longestreception 16.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 16.5. Books say 17.5.
  • Jalen HurtsFootballcompletions 18.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 18.5. Books say 17.5.
  • Saquon BarkleyFootballreceiving receptions 2.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 2.5. Books say 1.5.
  • David MontgomeryFootballrushing yards 64.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 64.5. Books say 65.5.
  • Nico CollinsFootballreceiving receptions 5.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 5.5. Books say 4.5.
  • Nico CollinsFootballreceiving yards 69.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 69.5. Books say 68.5.
  • Kyren WilliamsFootballrushing longestrush 14.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 14.5. Books say 15.5.
  • Blake CorumFootballrushing longestrush 12.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 12.5. Books say 13.5.
  • Puka NacuaFootballreceiving longestreception 27.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 27.5. Books say 26.5.
  • Isaiah LikelyFootballreceiving yards 45.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Davante AdamsFootballreceiving yards 45.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 45.5. Books say 44.5.
  • Noah GrayFootballreceiving longestreception 8.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 8.5. Books say 7.5.
  • Alec PierceFootballreceiving longestreception 21.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 21.5. Books say 22.5.
  • Pat FreiermuthFootballreceiving yards 26.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 26.5. Books say 25.5.
  • Jaylen WarrenFootballrushing yards 41.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 41.5. Books say 42.5.
  • Mack HollinsFootballreceiving yards 36.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 36.5. Books say 35.5.
  • Rhamondre StevensonFootballreceiving yards 18.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 18.5. Books say 17.5.
  • Rhamondre StevensonFootballrushing+receiving yards 71.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 71.5. Books say 70.5.
  • Parker WashingtonFootballreceiving longestreception 21.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 21.5. Books say 22.5.
  • Pat BryantFootballreceiving yards 31.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 31.5. Books say 30.5.
  • Courtland SuttonFootballreceiving yards 41.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 41.5. Books say 40.5.
  • Bucky IrvingFootballrushing+receiving yards 80.5on Fliff· NFLthin marketMoreThey ask 80.5. Books say 81.5.
  • Jerry JeudyFootballreceiving longestreception 15.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 15.5. Books say 16.5.
  • Baker MayfieldFootballpassing longestcompletion 36.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 36.5. Books say 37.5.
  • Tyler AllgeierFootballcarries 9.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 9.5. Books say 10.5.
  • George HolaniFootballcarries 7.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 7.5. Books say 8.5.
  • Tyler AllgeierFootballrushing yards 35.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 35.5. Books say 36.5.
  • Jaxon SmithnjigbaFootballreceiving longestreception 24.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 24.5. Books say 23.5.
  • Jacoby BrissettFootballpassing longestcompletion 31.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 31.5. Books say 30.5.
  • Jeremiyah LoveFootballrushing yards 37.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 37.5. Books say 36.5.
  • Demarcus RobinsonFootballreceiving longestreception 18.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 18.5. Books say 19.5.
  • Devon AchaneFootballreceiving longestreception 11.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 11.5. Books say 10.5.
  • Deebo SamuelFootballrushing yards 6.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 6.5. Books say 5.5.
  • Brock PurdyFootballpassing longestcompletion 36.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 36.5. Books say 37.5.
  • Malik WashingtonFootballreceiving longestreception 16.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 16.5. Books say 15.5.
  • Malik WashingtonFootballreceiving yards 32.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 32.5. Books say 33.5.
  • Malik WillisFootballrushing yards 37.5on Fliff· NFLLessThey ask 37.5. Books say 36.5.
  • Marshawn LloydFootballrushing yards 51.5on Fliff· NFLMoreThey ask 51.5. Books say 52.5.

Coverage check: Pick'em lines in our feed right now: PrizePicks 1,211 (Football), Underdog 2,273 (Football), Fliff 1,516 (Football). Sportsbook player props in our feed right now: Football, Basketball, Baseball, Soccer.

How to read this page: each row is one player and one number. The pick'em board asks you to pick More or Less on that number, and we look at what the real sportsbooks post for the same player and stat. When a book posts the same number, we turn its prices into a plain chance of More, with the bookmaker margin taken out, and print how many books priced it; three or more books make a full row, two show as a thin market. When the books only post a different number, we print both numbers and stop there, because turning a different number into a percentage would be a guess. This is a disagreement meter, not a promised winner: the boards shade numbers on purpose, your entry's payout is not part of this math, and promo or ladder lines are left out instead of being compared as normal lines. Touchdown rows only ever compare the standard anytime market.